TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0970…7889

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Movies, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$29.18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+272.2%+$33.64
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-68%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the announcers say "Ankle" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$10.29
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$62.92
Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.