Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0beea3082e8e0aaedf361c4a50b82ee238291f2460b5a0e868a4baca7f2d605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 2c | 1,106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 7c | 880.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 73c | 401.79$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 11c | 259.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…9c0abacked No | 28c | 207.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed No | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 47c | 175$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 18c | 144.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 43c | 136.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 46c | 130.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 52c | 119.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 11c | 118.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 36c | 114.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked No | 62c | 109.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 10c | 108.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 52c | 105.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 24c | 104.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 38c | 102$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 56c | 98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 43c | 73.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…05a0backed No | 28c | 67.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 181 | 6.1%11 W · 170 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 41c | 62.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…6be9backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 50c | 59.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 41c | 55.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…7889backed Yes | 47c | 55.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked No | 52c | 54.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 64c | 53.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed Yes | 62c | 52.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 79c | 52.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 63c | 52.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 79c | 50.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 48.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 29c | 44.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed No | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 37c | 41.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 58c | 41.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2c7ebacked Yes | 48c | 39.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 44c | 36.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 63c | 35.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e1…4e79backed Yes | 67c | 33.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 79c | 32.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 51c | 32.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 39c | 31.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 74c | 31.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Yes | 55c | 30.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 50 | 82%41 W · 9 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…b54abacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 37c | 29.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a7…19a3backed Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x048e…0087backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 54c | 23.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 57c | 23.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 55c | 22.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3288…b8cebacked No | 48c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…4409backed No | 60c | 21.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…791bbacked No | 58c | 19.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 56c | 18.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.