Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0ea695ba3e452ccca64106a110c1e04f2a783a16b821886e8ad36de715f01c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 59c | 335.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 43c | 260.03$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 198.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 74c | 178.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 41c | 164.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 48c | 136.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 55c | 123.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked No | 52c | 117.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 45c | 109.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 109.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 35c | 108.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 28c | 106.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 307 | 22.1%68 W · 239 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…791bbacked No | 51c | 98.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 51c | 97.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 97.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 42c | 96.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed No | 53c | 94.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5478…a9f8backed Yes | 78c | 94.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 43c | 90.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 51c | 89.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9d…02f8backed Yes | 45c | 79.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…c876backed Yes | 49c | 77.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 69c | 72.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 54c | 63.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 53c | 60.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…0ac4backed Yes | 50c | 60.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…af97backed Yes | 77c | 60.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…cc8abacked Yes | 50c | 60.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 49c | 56.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 52c | 55.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 70c | 54.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 54.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4cdebacked No | 52c | 54.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 25c | 52.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 39c | 50.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 48c | 50.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 42c | 50.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 49.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 47.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 37c | 47.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 50c | 45.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…171bbacked Yes | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 52c | 42.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…7889backed Yes | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 46c | 39.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 39.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 37.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 59c | 37.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…c567backed No | 52c | 36.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…fc14backed No | 53c | 33.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 46c | 33.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 32c | 32.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 47c | 31.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…7aecbacked Yes | 48c | 31.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 52c | 30.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 50c | 30.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…7d58backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 48c | 29.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Yes | 74c | 29.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…150abacked No | 55c | 28.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 46c | 28.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 47c | 27.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 38c | 26.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 62c | 23.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…e002backed No | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…329bbacked No | 52c | 22.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 49c | 21.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…92adbacked No | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…12b7backed Yes | 64c | 21.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7385…0c36backed No | 58c | 20.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 58c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…887ebacked Yes | 69c | 18.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.