Will Pau Cubarsí score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb40720609e41f54ab962789397c0785a270d7c937db0f303851524b902dc0ef4

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,552 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	6c	1,452$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.14	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	22c	743.14$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	74c	572.99$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.35	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes	5c	500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…6a8ebacked Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+159%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	2c	499.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	5c	491.58$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.05	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed No	77c	349$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.64	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	67c	292.29$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.7	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	292$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	6c	221.32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	78c	214.97$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.29	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397f…c0edbacked Yes	25c	141.08$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	79c	129$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.09	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	18c	113$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	29c	88$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	78c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0855…ae26backed Yes	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c01…7cafbacked Yes	31c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-4.6wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	78c	37.26$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.32	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2c…64f0backed No	77c	24.72$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.59	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x593a…48f8backed Yes	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	75c	22$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes	50c	20.04$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-11.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x905d…2c17backed No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed No	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e94…fc93backed No	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	226	50.9%115 W · 111 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x734b…2a2cbacked No	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked No	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6d…f13bbacked No	79c	19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.99	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Pau Cubarsí score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event