Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91944328f55f86f36ac0861a04ce68169efae1023c8e5ffce6937ff974125090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,165$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked No | 66c | 1,434$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 6c | 1,309$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 928$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 35c | 484$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed No | 66c | 291.27$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 67c | 275$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 65c | 209$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 12c | 199.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 50c | 63.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Yes | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Yes | 35c | 56.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 79c | 51.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 45.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 28c | 37.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Aston Villa qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Crystal Palace qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.