TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,143 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5207…686bbacked Yes67c4,754$3,194 inWon+$1,560.761546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No39c2,821$1,094 inLost-$1,094.4819244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed No32c1,376$440 inLost-$4406142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2e7…843ebacked No15c1,004$148 inLost-$147.5640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No4c713.83$27 inLost-$27.362037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf869…93f3backed No6c444.69$25 inLost-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No4c382.62$17 inLost-$16.922227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fc…e2e2backed No19c376.12$70 inLost-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No3c375$10 inLost-$10.37119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes57c285.55$164 inWon+$121.663066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No44c275$121 inLost-$12112450.8%63 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes56c275$154 inWon+$12112744.1%56 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8aa…f4fbbacked No6c250$15 inLost-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No44c225$99 inLost-$9911143.2%48 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes56c225$126 inWon+$9912251.6%63 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa853…58a9backed No14c204.99$29 inLost-$29.391926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No16c111.76$18 inLost-$17.614712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes77c79.55$62 inWon+$186544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2067…42dfbacked No26c43.53$11 inLost-$11.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cab…deb9backed Yes79c20.78$16 inWon+$4.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.