Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96b0b216c2b8c56bb049ce118f55dc7377e6e07ad758d9334cc16c71f6fff78e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 70c | 502.28$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…8d34backed Yes | 41c | 319.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked Yes | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 15c | 273.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked No | 50c | 250$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 30c | 238.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…4090backed Yes | 66c | 151.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed No | 65c | 144.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 49c | 133.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 14c | 130.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…2835backed Yes | 29c | 68.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 67c | 20.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 80c | 13.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Aston Villa qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Chelsea qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Crystal Palace qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.