Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9191a7e0084230de0dd0210814c4023729c1c4ef88ac4de894ea747bff864392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 20c | 8,033$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.86 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 5c | 6,957$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.81 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,375$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.68 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 19c | 821.91$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 5c | 298.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 132.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Aston Villa qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Chelsea qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Crystal Palace qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.