Fifa International · resolved market
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f16ebb3f69b81ca6ae20a130651daad7f09bf24c31d905082c3d07bee5ff4dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1699…39efbacked No | 1c | 8,177$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3f…5e72backed No | 1c | 8,177$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed No | 78c | 6,406$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 29c | 3,932$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.89 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 2c | 2,630$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…124ebacked No | 62c | 2,364$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 38c | 2,119$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.38 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 2,087$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f8…81bdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,663$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked No | 58c | 1,489$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.41 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 66c | 1,324$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.56 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 62c | 1,070$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.1 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…2d44backed Yes | 79c | 1,019$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 23c | 970.47$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.55 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 50c | 814.69$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.28 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed Yes | 74c | 785.71$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Yes | 23c | 715.06$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.5 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 703.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.3 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Yes | 15c | 639.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.24 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 31c | 628.89$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.34 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256f…2fa5backed No | 15c | 624.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 16c | 515.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 27c | 505.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.17 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 79c | 499.98$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.49 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…79ddbacked Yes | 56c | 484.4$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.77 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…baa9backed Yes | 66c | 472.26$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…f37cbacked Yes | 21c | 469.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…8135backed No | 13c | 460.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 34c | 437.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.85 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 360$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.18 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 77c | 357.06$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.28 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked No | 80c | 334.73$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…7744backed Yes | 31c | 320.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 47c | 309.23$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…d74fbacked No | 40c | 278.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 23c | 260$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…44e7backed Yes | 45c | 255.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 40c | 249.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 67c | 240.73$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 229.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…d7f6backed Yes | 26c | 219.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +239.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 66c | 211.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…2328backed No | 46c | 210.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +204.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 35c | 202.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…d77fbacked Yes | 79c | 189.41$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…6c2cbacked Yes | 53c | 187.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.27 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc787…800dbacked Yes | 33c | 180.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Yes | 28c | 180.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Yes | 58c | 172.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 60c | 170$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 156$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 61c | 150.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…69febacked Yes | 58c | 147.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…d602backed Yes | 66c | 146.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 37c | 143.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 26c | 132.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 21c | 125.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 73c | 124.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 22c | 121.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed No | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 41c | 117.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…91fcbacked Yes | 56c | 109$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…3a1bbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 70c | 99.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…3f18backed Yes | 26c | 98.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…8b13backed Yes | 26c | 94.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 69c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 85.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed No | 80c | 85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d34…3e28backed Yes | 63c | 80.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…8f16backed Yes | 63c | 76.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…f4f9backed Yes | 26c | 74.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcb…0f07backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 17c | 63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 18c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…f061backed Yes | 66c | 60.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…a899backed Yes | 42c | 59.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed Yes | 79c | 56.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed No | 49c | 56.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2a…58d1backed Yes | 35c | 54.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 69c | 52.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…3809backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c2…4940backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…d183backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Yes | 26c | 49.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes | 56c | 37.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 39c | 35.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 39c | 33.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…95cebacked No | 34c | 30.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324d…c846backed Yes | 40c | 29.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes | 77c | 24.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 25+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 30+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 35+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 40+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will there be 50+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.