MLB · resolved market
Will Japan make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaff69b457a3c799f651ad52c1d4f7994e435c29878cca3d62bf51412da5cdea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,419 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa81a…216bbacked Yes | 53c | 5,183$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 60c | 3,912$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.39 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 34c | 3,288$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.53 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 59c | 1,418$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.34 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked No | 39c | 1,166$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 41c | 1,038$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 1,012$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…a0bfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…2dcdbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 39c | 839.22$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…5797backed Yes | 64c | 802.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edc…274fbacked Yes | 65c | 744.75$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…9ae7backed Yes | 70c | 699.6$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 36c | 635.56$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.98 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…6ccdbacked No | 73c | 603.26$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 46c | 600$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d5…b12dbacked Yes | 35c | 599.53$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 48c | 551.08$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.01 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90b…0643backed No | 45c | 530$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +380%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…8b48backed Yes | 58c | 458.81$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 40c | 447.42$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 43c | 400$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.34 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc148…ca5dbacked Yes | 77c | 385.14$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.3 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…50e8backed Yes | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 70c | 374.92$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked No | 43c | 351.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 346.93$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.37 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…4e71backed Yes | 62c | 337.42$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 40c | 312.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 41c | 310.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.81 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…4186backed Yes | 69c | 276.26$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9b…6056backed No | 40c | 251$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…be37backed No | 46c | 250.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…3fd1backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…40c4backed No | 40c | 248$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…d3b3backed No | 41c | 237$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…cb73backed No | 43c | 231$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…12f0backed No | 43c | 227.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d7…d22ebacked Yes | 58c | 222.34$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 31c | 202.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…ee96backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x351c…e953backed Yes | 58c | 171.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a4…17d7backed Yes | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…c0debacked Yes | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce6…55f0backed Yes | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…e98dbacked Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…347fbacked Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…fd65backed Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…c5efbacked Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…fbadbacked Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…1b08backed Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af3…bfa1backed Yes | 52c | 163.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…99b1backed Yes | 63c | 157.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed No | 26c | 146.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 39c | 146.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb655…aae7backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 68cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 32c | 131.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…8f0bbacked No | 64c | 125.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…aadebacked Yes | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…3776backed Yes | 54c | 105.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 41c | 100.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…9ac2backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…3e2cbacked No | 21c | 97.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…c57fbacked Yes | 55c | 90.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Yes | 64c | 77.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…1f1bbacked Yes | 65c | 77.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…8ec1backed Yes | 65c | 76.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 49c | 76.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 53c | 71.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…33c6backed Yes | 56c | 71.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…285ebacked Yes | 62c | 61.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 56c | 61.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…98f8backed No | 47c | 54.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 60c | 52.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…82a0backed No | 52c | 48.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…d641backed No | 49c | 45.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…0009backed Yes | 66c | 45.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e7…6b92backed Yes | 65c | 43.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 38c | 32.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…8e18backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 51c | 30.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…2903backed No | 61c | 27.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…382dbacked Yes | 51c | 27.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…dbdebacked Yes | 66c | 25.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Yes | 65c | 23.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…4eccbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af5…8577backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65fc…c072backed No | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…200ebacked Yes | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 73c | 16.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…2fe3backed Yes | 66c | 15.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Japan make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?this page
- Will Dominican Republic make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?No won
- Will Italy make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?No won
- Will Korea make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?No won
- Will Puerto Rico make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?No won
- Will USA make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?Yes won
- Will Venezuela make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.