NHL · resolved market
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d8124d4649706081b969c8842bebb992ec7e5eadab248d95fbfb1ff62e00cb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 33c | 7,228$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.42 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 65c | 4,954$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 67c | 4,946$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.05 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 67c | 2,659$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.91 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 67c | 2,509$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.05 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 42c | 1,482$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.23 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Yes | 33c | 1,452$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.38 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Yes | 33c | 1,017$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.65 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed No | 68c | 980.8$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.94 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Yes | 33c | 719.85$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.3 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Yes | 34c | 706.18$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f1…1e72backed Yes | 40c | 607.06$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 16c | 529.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 47c | 503.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f4…e161backed Yes | 34c | 361.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 48c | 351.13$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Yes | 33c | 319.93$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.36 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…163fbacked Yes | 34c | 311.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 51c | 309.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.74 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed No | 62c | 292.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f79bbacked Yes | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 36c | 231$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.59 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Yes | 44c | 163.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed No | 43c | 155.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Yes | 34c | 155.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e6…bc73backed Yes | 34c | 143.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed No | 63c | 138.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…080bbacked Yes | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…758abacked Yes | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e258backed Yes | 38c | 102.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…b675backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…6bbfbacked Yes | 50c | 97.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa185…6e8fbacked Yes | 70c | 87.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 50c | 82.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…2ccdbacked Yes | 40c | 72.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Yes | 68c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 35c | 68.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 61c | 60.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e8…7655backed Yes | 34c | 57.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…ddecbacked Yes | 34c | 57.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…bbb1backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Yes | 36c | 37.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 51c | 31.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 55c | 29.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 58c | 27.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0d06backed No | 58c | 24.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…178dbacked No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…8ab4backed Yes | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 63c | 21.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8435…166cbacked Yes | 55c | 20.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Yes | 69c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 68c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?this page
- Will Anaheim Ducks advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Boston Bruins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Buffalo Sabres advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Carolina Hurricanes advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Colorado Avalanche advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Dallas Stars advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Los Angeles Kings advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Minnesota Wild advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Ottawa Senators advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Philadelphia Flyers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Pittsburgh Penguins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Tampa Bay Lightning advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Utah Mammoth advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Vegas Golden Knights advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.