TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will Buffalo Sabres advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,562 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No38c6,000$2,280 inLost-$2,2801,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed No39c4,989$1,945 inLost-$1,945.1762346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf638…aa50backed Yes62c4,886$3,029 inWon+$1,856.681752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yes61c3,600$2,196 inWon+$1,403.996940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes61c2,197$1,351 inWon+$845.8489249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No18c500.03$89 inLost-$89.358339.8%33 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes62c376.27$233 inWon+$142.9870249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes61c206.97$126 inWon+$80.9597955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed No38c143.12$54 inLost-$54.391,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes66c67.57$44 inWon+$23.2831744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes75c63.39$48 inWon+$15.8130944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed No24c50.64$12 inLost-$12.1718931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes57c50$29 inWon+$21.2569550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes60c26.94$16 inWon+$10.851656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes75c15.23$11 inWon+$3.814247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.