NHL · resolved market
Will Anaheim Ducks advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e5d7669ae9e1529cc8cd8cc47727d8eedfd35681f690986d17c26af9107dae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x698b…4426backed No | 68c | 543.16$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.35 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 32c | 485.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.93 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda40…bfc0backed Yes | 37c | 261.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 30c | 203.42$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed No | 70c | 196.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 62c | 188.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 29c | 162.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 49c | 122.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 39c | 86.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Yes | 67c | 86.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes | 73c | 80.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 61c | 76.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…080bbacked Yes | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anaheim Ducks advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?this page
- Will Boston Bruins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Buffalo Sabres advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Carolina Hurricanes advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Colorado Avalanche advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Dallas Stars advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Los Angeles Kings advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Minnesota Wild advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Ottawa Senators advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Philadelphia Flyers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Pittsburgh Penguins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Tampa Bay Lightning advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Utah Mammoth advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will Vegas Golden Knights advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.