Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc44594f103d57a563da28fdcb89edc4908cb087bf38a224bceed8f8f79180a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 73c | 985.08$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.14 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…450fbacked Yes | 7c | 751.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 341.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 71c | 321.71$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 20c | 301.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 299.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked No | 76c | 294.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 30c | 233.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 24c | 193.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 78c | 192.78$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…6c35backed No | 72c | 138.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed No | 74c | 134.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 72c | 131.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 24c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 27c | 129.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 307 | 22.1%68 W · 239 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 70c | 120.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 77c | 117.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 22c | 116.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 17c | 115.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 71c | 108.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 75c | 106.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Yes | 30c | 106.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 18c | 105.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed Yes | 32c | 103.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 33c | 99.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…04bfbacked Yes | 31c | 91.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 22c | 90.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…4379backed Yes | 32c | 85.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 23c | 83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…fd8dbacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 22c | 79.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 76.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…bf47backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 71c | 69.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 29c | 69.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 72c | 68.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…0c32backed Yes | 33c | 66.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 73c | 63.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 29c | 58.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 34c | 56.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked No | 74c | 55.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 30c | 55.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 25c | 54.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…8969backed Yes | 31c | 52.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…5bc2backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…ba7fbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 70c | 42.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…f629backed Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 72c | 39.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…b206backed No | 73c | 39.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…0a62backed No | 71c | 39.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 26c | 38.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 31c | 38.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…7858backed Yes | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5910backed Yes | 30c | 35.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 32.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 69c | 31.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5c…f7e9backed Yes | 34c | 29.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…9d0abacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…02abbacked No | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed No | 79c | 26.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…2ac7backed No | 72c | 23.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 71c | 23.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff3…d6fabacked No | 72c | 21.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…fc7cbacked No | 74c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…0f96backed No | 71c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 71c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553c…230fbacked No | 74c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 73c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.