Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecafaf36ca1b2e629d48bdd68391fcb3549b64f2a938085c30ecf6fc25927eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d03…dac8backed No | 0c | 32,817$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 0c | 4,636$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 5c | 1,782$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 307 | 22.1%68 W · 239 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 80c | 505.33$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 45c | 493.65$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 29c | 471.05$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.41 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 63c | 463.19$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 362.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 341$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 312.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.33 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 28c | 300$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 17c | 292.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 76c | 160.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 60c | 155.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 41c | 150.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 68c | 141.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 15c | 138.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 19c | 135$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed No | 13c | 131.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 70c | 130.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…f31cbacked Yes | 26c | 130$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 125.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed Yes | 46c | 120.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…bbeabacked No | 18c | 117.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 28c | 115.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 45c | 114.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 100.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 17c | 99.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 18c | 97.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 14c | 96.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 65c | 84.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 24c | 84.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…0c32backed Yes | 39c | 82.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 43c | 82.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 19c | 77.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed Yes | 66c | 76.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 73.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2656…a5b8backed Yes | 19c | 67.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 15c | 67.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 27c | 65.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked No | 79c | 64.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed Yes | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…c4cebacked Yes | 20c | 58.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 32c | 54.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…be53backed Yes | 39c | 53.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 29c | 52.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…73c0backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 61c | 50.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…ba7fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…5d04backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 49.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 79c | 48.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 47.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked No | 77c | 44.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…04bfbacked Yes | 26c | 41.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…cc41backed Yes | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 28c | 39.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…3066backed Yes | 72c | 37.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 76c | 33.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 79c | 32.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…e362backed Yes | 44c | 32.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +62%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked Yes | 40c | 30.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked No | 34c | 30.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 230 | 60.9%140 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 58c | 29.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 36c | 29.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 77c | 28.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…9945backed Yes | 80c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…2ac7backed No | 78c | 20.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…9b00backed No | 78c | 17.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 202 | 66.8%135 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 79c | 16.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 80c | 12.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.