Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5eef107520ba0bc5784ddd7650baed0dd0e39b4d086500b0bf0fb3cb270bb0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 0c | 12,872$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd651…bff1backed Yes | 1c | 9,421$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 1c | 3,369$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…d98abacked Yes | 1c | 3,368$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…0511backed Yes | 8c | 1,249$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 20c | 1,193$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.64 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 26c | 528.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 11c | 466.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…83acbacked Yes | 2c | 460.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 4c | 458.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 369.01$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…8fcabacked No | 76c | 263.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked No | 60c | 247.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 9c | 231.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 19c | 207.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 30c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…9a31backed No | 67c | 199.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 64c | 199.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 307 | 22.1%68 W · 239 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 64c | 198.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 36c | 185$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 24c | 178.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 161$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 10c | 152.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 39c | 152$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 32c | 148.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 12c | 141.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 141.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…3999backed Yes | 40c | 137.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…f31cbacked Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 78c | 114$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Yes | 40c | 106$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 39c | 105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 71c | 104.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed Yes | 39c | 103.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…0c7abacked No | 63c | 101.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed No | 64c | 99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 61c | 98.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 39c | 98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 97.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 74c | 97.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed Yes | 36c | 96.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…04bfbacked Yes | 36c | 95.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked No | 62c | 92.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 32c | 89.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 63c | 89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 81.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed Yes | 32c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 51c | 78.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 26c | 78.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…6c35backed No | 69c | 72.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 70c | 70.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 58c | 70.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…bf47backed No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2656…a5b8backed Yes | 34c | 67.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…a384backed No | 69c | 67.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed Yes | 19c | 67.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked Yes | 18c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Yes | 48c | 62.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 38c | 61.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfd…dd23backed Yes | 39c | 61.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 37c | 59.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…f405backed Yes | 33c | 59.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 37c | 56.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 65c | 56.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…054fbacked Yes | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed Yes | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…8969backed Yes | 40c | 52.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 41c | 52.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 50.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…914bbacked Yes | 38c | 50.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…e95ebacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…ba7fbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2e96backed Yes | 38c | 48.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 37c | 46.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…644dbacked Yes | 32c | 46.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed No | 55c | 45.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68d5…70f5backed Yes | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…5737backed Yes | 42c | 42.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 42.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 63c | 41.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…3bcabacked No | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…f39bbacked No | 63c | 40.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…f629backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 39.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 68c | 39.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 59c | 36.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 68c | 35.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…9c0ebacked No | 63c | 32.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.