TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Santos: Miguel Tobon vs Facundo Mena

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miguel Tobonof Miguel Tobon, Facundo Mena
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2258…0eecbacked Facundo Mena67c8,799$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Miguel Tobon42c8,416$3,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,922.067,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miguel Tobon49c4,261$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.77,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Facundo Mena50c3,421$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.444,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Facundo Mena52c2,862$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004122%9 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Facundo Mena50c2,582$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.576,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miguel Tobon32c2,265$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.9711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Miguel Tobon67c2,117$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.1829754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Miguel Tobon50c2,058$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.656,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa08…d98abacked Miguel Tobon64c2,017$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.2824962.2%155 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Miguel Tobon46c1,999$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.82,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Facundo Mena47c1,910$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.021,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Miguel Tobon36c1,653$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.1262140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Miguel Tobon46c1,580$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.213050.8%66 W · 64 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Facundo Mena47c1,244$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.434,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Miguel Tobon39c881.8$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.2524229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf677…0e56backed Facundo Mena48c844.91$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.7428350.5%143 W · 140 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Facundo Mena36c778.53$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Facundo Mena49c776.83$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.9499244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Facundo Mena65c760$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49412146.3%56 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c6e…542dbacked Facundo Mena64c699.69$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44919756.3%111 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Facundo Mena55c549.82$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.459954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Facundo Mena65c540.43$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.52,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Miguel Tobon38c526.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.641,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…9bb7backed Miguel Tobon60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Facundo Mena38c497.09$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.868,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cee…0d1ebacked Facundo Mena44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018849.5%93 W · 95 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Facundo Mena54c367.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20044038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Miguel Tobon59c356.18$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.122,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Miguel Tobon41c341.41$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4126451.5%136 W · 128 L+18.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Facundo Mena45c310.85$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1419851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Facundo Mena33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Miguel Tobon38c302.51$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5560856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Facundo Mena61c277.57$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6917338.7%67 W · 106 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Facundo Mena65c226.18$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7494068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Facundo Mena43c205.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9450644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Facundo Mena55c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.821,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Miguel Tobon39c180.31$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.991,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Facundo Mena54c177.78$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9694549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Miguel Tobon52c165.18$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4830339.9%121 W · 182 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Facundo Mena12c162.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3385624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Miguel Tobon45c156.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.55,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Miguel Tobon53c151.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.824,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Facundo Mena53c148.07$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.431,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Miguel Tobon57c146.61$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.93,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Facundo Mena16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Facundo Mena53c121.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.091,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Facundo Mena62c114.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.611,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Miguel Tobon34c105.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.893,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x272b…0a6ebacked Miguel Tobon38c99.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.568245.1%37 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Facundo Mena56c94.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5349749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Facundo Mena28c93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.625,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Facundo Mena34c92.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5457447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Miguel Tobon53c86.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2173549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33e…b4b6backed Miguel Tobon53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9118545.4%84 W · 101 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x680d…05eabacked Facundo Mena50c81.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7418659.7%111 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Miguel Tobon49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6333655.1%185 W · 151 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Facundo Mena30c76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.994,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Miguel Tobon49c72.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.636,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Miguel Tobon35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4366452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Miguel Tobon69c67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7792674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Miguel Tobon60c66.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Facundo Mena48c65.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.76365.1%41 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Miguel Tobon47c62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8617617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Miguel Tobon48c58.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.31,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Miguel Tobon56c56.4$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.892,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Facundo Mena48c56.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.872,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Facundo Mena63c55.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3538664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Facundo Mena50c53.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.534,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Facundo Mena42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2168430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Miguel Tobon67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.588273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Miguel Tobon79c48.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1091880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Miguel Tobon62c48.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5543358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Facundo Mena40c45.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.942,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Facundo Mena65c45.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2467178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Facundo Mena37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5815332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Miguel Tobon34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1216940.2%68 W · 101 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Facundo Mena46c43.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032937.1%122 W · 207 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Miguel Tobon47c42.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2929039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Miguel Tobon36c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.454050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Miguel Tobon37c39.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1616258.6%95 W · 67 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x500d…98bebacked Miguel Tobon64c39.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Miguel Tobon38c38.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0539842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Miguel Tobon55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7718033.9%61 W · 119 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Facundo Mena65c34.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6134159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Miguel Tobon47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Miguel Tobon51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3723754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Miguel Tobon48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2512166.9%81 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Miguel Tobon51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8583047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Facundo Mena54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.213444%59 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeefb…d11fbacked Miguel Tobon50c29.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.783762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Miguel Tobon51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Miguel Tobon68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4122856.1%128 W · 100 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Miguel Tobon59c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5235187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Facundo Mena53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.842,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Miguel Tobon39c27.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.841,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Facundo Mena64c26.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2425751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Facundo Mena62c25.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.539743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Miguel Tobon42c24.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9620857.2%119 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b59…2044backed Miguel Tobon71c22.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.367668.4%52 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.