Tennis · resolved market
Francavilla: Facundo Acosta vs Chun-Hsin Tseng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf10ba57b8e6b093baecf8e02bb8be2342eeea1fd1abc8df92d237292d34d69f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Acostaof Facundo Acosta, Chun-Hsin Tseng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 42c | 4,619$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.98 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 23c | 2,048$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.34 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 34c | 1,774$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.11 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Facundo Acosta | 71c | 1,629$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.65 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Facundo Acosta | 74c | 1,032$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.29 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 40c | 1,010$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Facundo Acosta | 66c | 1,008$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.91 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Facundo Acosta | 75c | 993$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 796.21$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 45c | 666.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Facundo Acosta | 76c | 563.12$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 40c | 552.68$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Facundo Acosta | 61c | 501.01$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.39 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 19c | 490.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Facundo Acosta | 40c | 391.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Facundo Acosta | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Facundo Acosta | 39c | 335.77$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.82 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 22c | 335.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 31c | 326.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Facundo Acosta | 60c | 304.82$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 27c | 292.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 34c | 267$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 18c | 218.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Facundo Acosta | 74c | 217.58$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 9c | 209.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Facundo Acosta | 58c | 196.64$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Facundo Acosta | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Facundo Acosta | 61c | 141.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 26c | 127.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 39c | 127.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 30c | 117.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 38c | 108.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Facundo Acosta | 62c | 108.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 39c | 106.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Facundo Acosta | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 17c | 100.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 22c | 97.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 38c | 80.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Facundo Acosta | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 45c | 78.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Facundo Acosta | 69c | 76.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…672abacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 74.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Facundo Acosta | 76c | 72.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Facundo Acosta | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Facundo Acosta | 53c | 67.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Facundo Acosta | 37c | 66.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Facundo Acosta | 60c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Facundo Acosta | 69c | 63.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 18c | 61.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Facundo Acosta | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…1414backed Facundo Acosta | 48c | 58.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 20c | 54.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 31c | 52.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Facundo Acosta | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Facundo Acosta | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Facundo Acosta | 67c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Facundo Acosta | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Facundo Acosta | 59c | 47.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 60c | 45.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Facundo Acosta | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Facundo Acosta | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Facundo Acosta | 78c | 36.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…6d47backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 33c | 35.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 48c | 34.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Facundo Acosta | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…8d70backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 68c | 29.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…1875backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 45c | 29.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 44c | 28.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Facundo Acosta | 60c | 24.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Facundo Acosta | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Facundo Acosta | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Facundo Acosta | 74c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…2feabacked Facundo Acosta | 78c | 12.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.