Tennis · resolved market
La Bisbal: Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb631d56e058e69bf0e2b9f98b3b81de8f85da24053d5e0b93fa5ac0ccd25c3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Kasatkinaof Emiliana Arango, Daria Kasatkina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Emiliana Arango | 28c | 15,864$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494.97 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Emiliana Arango | 3c | 14,787$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.63 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Emiliana Arango | 1c | 14,019$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Emiliana Arango | 36c | 6,033$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.1 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daria Kasatkina | 75c | 5,236$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.51 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 71c | 4,962$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.14 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Daria Kasatkina | 78c | 4,487$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.18 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Daria Kasatkina | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Emiliana Arango | 7c | 3,972$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.14 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 64c | 3,643$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.9 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Emiliana Arango | 33c | 3,495$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daria Kasatkina | 73c | 3,116$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.41 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Daria Kasatkina | 43c | 2,702$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.15 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Emiliana Arango | 43c | 2,153$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.68 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Emiliana Arango | 17c | 2,135$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.08 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Emiliana Arango | 40c | 2,082$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.8 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daria Kasatkina | 72c | 2,056$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.67 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Emiliana Arango | 21c | 1,310$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Emiliana Arango | 2c | 1,258$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Emiliana Arango | 30c | 1,170$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.12 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Emiliana Arango | 36c | 1,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Daria Kasatkina | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Emiliana Arango | 20c | 936$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.3 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Emiliana Arango | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 670.24$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Emiliana Arango | 6c | 670.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Emiliana Arango | 14c | 631.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Emiliana Arango | 2c | 586.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…bfc4backed Emiliana Arango | 30c | 586.33$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.63 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 73c | 499.53$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Daria Kasatkina | 70c | 491$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Emiliana Arango | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Daria Kasatkina | 75c | 442.67$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Emiliana Arango | 66c | 411.09$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.36 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Emiliana Arango | 43c | 349.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Emiliana Arango | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 75c | 306.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Emiliana Arango | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Emiliana Arango | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Daria Kasatkina | 66c | 293.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd93…0370backed Daria Kasatkina | 65c | 291$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 285.2$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Emiliana Arango | 30c | 268.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Emiliana Arango | 21c | 239.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…104ebacked Emiliana Arango | 31c | 236.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Emiliana Arango | 36c | 195.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Emiliana Arango | 29c | 186.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Emiliana Arango | 29c | 171.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Emiliana Arango | 40c | 162.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…78ebbacked Daria Kasatkina | 70c | 139.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 43c | 136.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…b6d7backed Emiliana Arango | 72c | 130.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Daria Kasatkina | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 100 | 70%70 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Daria Kasatkina | 52c | 121.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Daria Kasatkina | 52c | 119.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Daria Kasatkina | 65c | 116.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Daria Kasatkina | 56c | 115.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Daria Kasatkina | 65c | 114.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed Daria Kasatkina | 59c | 102.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Emiliana Arango | 32c | 100.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Daria Kasatkina | 40c | 100.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda41…c72fbacked Emiliana Arango | 21c | 100.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Emiliana Arango | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed Emiliana Arango | 23c | 98.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Daria Kasatkina | 65c | 82.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 61c | 81.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Daria Kasatkina | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Daria Kasatkina | 62c | 79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…5217backed Emiliana Arango | 19c | 76.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daria Kasatkina | 78c | 76.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Daria Kasatkina | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Emiliana Arango | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Emiliana Arango | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Daria Kasatkina | 77c | 69.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 71c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…672abacked Emiliana Arango | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…143fbacked Emiliana Arango | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…1de8backed Emiliana Arango | 38c | 58.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Emiliana Arango | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…afd6backed Emiliana Arango | 33c | 54.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Daria Kasatkina | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 65cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Emiliana Arango | 29c | 53.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Daria Kasatkina | 45c | 50.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…c1a0backed Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 50.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Daria Kasatkina | 68c | 50.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Emiliana Arango | 30c | 46.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…cbeabacked Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 44.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Daria Kasatkina | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Emiliana Arango | 39c | 43.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4960…a8edbacked Daria Kasatkina | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Emiliana Arango | 33c | 36.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…8a1dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…6432backed Daria Kasatkina | 75c | 31.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…9b34backed Daria Kasatkina | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 24.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Daria Kasatkina | 80c | 21.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Emiliana Arango | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 688 | 57.3%394 W · 294 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Daria Kasatkina | 62c | 18.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Emiliana Arango | 72c | 18.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 66c | 15.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- La Bisbal: Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkinathis page
- Arango vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Arango vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Arango vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.