Lol · resolved market
LoL: BIG vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26a48bc350092c423c7561546fdb802c8250cb2fa6efd71ff6b6676310a45db3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Orange Gamingof BIG, Team Orange Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Orange Gaming | 64c | 6,827$4,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.21 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Orange Gaming | 15c | 6,544$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,579.61 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BIG | 62c | 4,390$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.53 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Orange Gaming | 22c | 2,922$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.85 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 27c | 1,615$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed BIG | 54c | 1,609$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.62 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BIG | 62c | 1,465$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.6 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Team Orange Gaming | 19c | 1,132$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.66 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed BIG | 76c | 876.31$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BIG | 17c | 658.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Orange Gaming | 34c | 645.58$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.08 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Orange Gaming | 46c | 567.96$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.38 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Orange Gaming | 38c | 561$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.29 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…0336backed BIG | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked BIG | 10c | 444$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Orange Gaming | 29c | 369$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.99 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BIG | 79c | 278.34$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team Orange Gaming | 15c | 257.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.62 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed BIG | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Team Orange Gaming | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 35c | 231.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Orange Gaming | 43c | 225.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG | 34c | 214$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BIG | 80c | 189.02$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed BIG | 66c | 179.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed BIG | 78c | 178.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Orange Gaming | 16c | 175$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Orange Gaming | 30c | 170.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed BIG | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…cdc6backed BIG | 49c | 164.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed BIG | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Orange Gaming | 17c | 159.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Team Orange Gaming | 13c | 154.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Orange Gaming | 41c | 120.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Team Orange Gaming | 15c | 119$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Orange Gaming | 39c | 117$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 32c | 115.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Team Orange Gaming | 36c | 114.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BIG | 22c | 114.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Orange Gaming | 31c | 114$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Team Orange Gaming | 44c | 106.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Team Orange Gaming | 14c | 105.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff85…e923backed BIG | 50c | 103.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Team Orange Gaming | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 16cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Team Orange Gaming | 54c | 92.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…681bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 23c | 84.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Team Orange Gaming | 24c | 83.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…4f9bbacked BIG | 16c | 75.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Orange Gaming | 39c | 68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed BIG | 50c | 66.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…5dddbacked Team Orange Gaming | 48c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Team Orange Gaming | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 110 | 90.9%100 W · 10 L | +16.8wins | +0.15per pick | 76cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Orange Gaming | 38c | 53.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked BIG | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 577 | 72.3%417 W · 160 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed BIG | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c248backed BIG | 60c | 48.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 167 | 35.9%60 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…8a1dbacked Team Orange Gaming | 64c | 48.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BIG | 39c | 46.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…1ddbbacked BIG | 61c | 46.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Team Orange Gaming | 23c | 43.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Team Orange Gaming | 44c | 41.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 208 | 54.3%113 W · 95 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Orange Gaming | 31c | 39.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed BIG | 55c | 39.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked BIG | 71c | 37.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 79 | 77.2%61 W · 18 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed BIG | 73c | 37.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3f…7d4abacked BIG | 40c | 37.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG | 49c | 36.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed BIG | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked BIG | 64c | 33.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Orange Gaming | 77c | 30.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Team Orange Gaming | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Team Orange Gaming | 37c | 28.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked BIG | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed BIG | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BIG vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Athis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: BIG vs Team Orange Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Orange Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.