Lol · resolved market
LoL: BIG vs Team Orange Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x479d2209234626d82d93ebedb4c92a5462a26d478ceb50d54833840263d8067c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Orange Gamingof BIG, Team Orange Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8705…edbabacked BIG | 73c | 6,165$4,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.18 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Orange Gaming | 53c | 4,372$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.46 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked BIG | 46c | 4,320$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 616 | 45.3%279 W · 337 L | +36.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 38c | 2,610$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.23 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed BIG | 44c | 2,400$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Orange Gaming | 53c | 2,103$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.08 | 897 | 46.9%421 W · 476 L | +43.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Orange Gaming | 27c | 1,638$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.93 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Orange Gaming | 30c | 1,083$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.22 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BIG | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Team Orange Gaming | 49c | 941$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.91 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed BIG | 72c | 939.14$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 610 | 55.7%340 W · 270 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Team Orange Gaming | 68c | 750$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Orange Gaming | 25c | 602.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.7 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Orange Gaming | 29c | 409.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.26 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Orange Gaming | 32c | 401.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.37 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed BIG | 78c | 300$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.28 | 228 | 67.5%154 W · 74 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Orange Gaming | 26c | 279.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.65 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed BIG | 20c | 234.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Team Orange Gaming | 25c | 205.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.84 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Orange Gaming | 49c | 190.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Orange Gaming | 61c | 179.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Orange Gaming | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Team Orange Gaming | 28c | 139.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 28c | 127$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked BIG | 42c | 74.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Orange Gaming | 37c | 65.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Team Orange Gaming | 26c | 63.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Team Orange Gaming | 27c | 39.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BIG | 77c | 21.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG | 71c | 19.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BIG vs Team Orange Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: BIG vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group ATeam Orange Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.