TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,148 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7138…8c89backed Yes5c5,171$239 inLost-$239.411,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes5c4,931$225 inLost-$225.4914428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c3,009$140 inLost-$139.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes5c2,500$115 inLost-$114.683,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes4c2,222$100 inLost-$100452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes5c2,000$92 inLost-$9241429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes4c2,000$88 inLost-$8817625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…14e8backed Yes5c1,834$90 inLost-$902814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e44…affebacked Yes4c1,818$80 inLost-$802416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes4c1,480$65 inLost-$65.2875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes5c1,357$63 inLost-$62.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes5c1,327$65 inLost-$657714.3%11 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes5c1,070$50 inLost-$50.2919713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf748…c387backed Yes5c1,000$49 inLost-$494112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4665…23a8backed Yes7c872.68$62 inLost-$62.046219.4%12 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes5c770.5$40 inLost-$403189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes4c600$26 inLost-$25.820325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes4c500$22 inLost-$2243826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes5c480.21$23 inLost-$22.5710425%26 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dfa…ebefbacked Yes3c441.32$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes5c434.78$20 inLost-$2052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes5c400$19 inLost-$19.214244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee7…14c3backed Yes4c340.91$15 inLost-$15156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-89.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes5c301.4$14 inLost-$13.863,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec83…d443backed Yes6c263.16$15 inLost-$151717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e0e…9eb8backed Yes6c214$12 inLost-$12.22913.8%4 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-58.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 99. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.