Tennis · resolved market
Bengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e25f3f1df0ccfdbd89e340a59517201a9ddfee0590335c8a308033fed2dfc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yusuke Takahashiof Ryuki Matsuda, Yusuke Takahashi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yusuke Takahashi | 79c | 6,184$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.16 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ryuki Matsuda | 24c | 4,875$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.84 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ryuki Matsuda | 12c | 1,986$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.56 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Ryuki Matsuda | 16c | 1,810$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Ryuki Matsuda | 15c | 1,436$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ryuki Matsuda | 12c | 1,203$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Ryuki Matsuda | 16c | 1,047$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.75 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ryuki Matsuda | 20c | 969.97$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Yusuke Takahashi | 79c | 908.58$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…44f2backed Ryuki Matsuda | 6c | 866.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 16c | 641.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ryuki Matsuda | 19c | 630.06$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Ryuki Matsuda | 20c | 626.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yusuke Takahashi | 77c | 493.45$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Ryuki Matsuda | 17c | 480.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Ryuki Matsuda | 24c | 451.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Ryuki Matsuda | 25c | 420.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Ryuki Matsuda | 22c | 417.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Ryuki Matsuda | 18c | 363.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 14c | 319.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yusuke Takahashi | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ryuki Matsuda | 20c | 293.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Ryuki Matsuda | 27c | 288$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Ryuki Matsuda | 24c | 266.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryuki Matsuda | 18c | 232.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Yusuke Takahashi | 75c | 191$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yusuke Takahashi | 76c | 190.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ryuki Matsuda | 13c | 184.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ryuki Matsuda | 17c | 171.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 24c | 144.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…126ebacked Yusuke Takahashi | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 77c | 130.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 474 | 47.9%227 W · 247 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ryuki Matsuda | 19c | 127$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…5b74backed Yusuke Takahashi | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Ryuki Matsuda | 21c | 121.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Ryuki Matsuda | 19c | 119.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Ryuki Matsuda | 14c | 116.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ryuki Matsuda | 17c | 109.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Ryuki Matsuda | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 24c | 105.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf748…c387backed Yusuke Takahashi | 78c | 103.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Yusuke Takahashi | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Ryuki Matsuda | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ryuki Matsuda | 20c | 84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…1dd3backed Ryuki Matsuda | 23c | 79.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yusuke Takahashi | 79c | 78.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…ad20backed Ryuki Matsuda | 18c | 71.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 78c | 64.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yusuke Takahashi | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yusuke Takahashi | 75c | 55.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Ryuki Matsuda | 20c | 51.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Yusuke Takahashi | 77c | 48.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Ryuki Matsuda | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…270abacked Yusuke Takahashi | 77c | 35.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Yusuke Takahashi | 78c | 28.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Yusuke Takahashi | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Yusuke Takahashi | 75c | 25.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Yusuke Takahashi | 76c | 23.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Yusuke Takahashi | 78c | 21.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 95 | 27.4%26 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yusuke Takahashi | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Yusuke Takahashi | 70c | 18.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…876bbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…74b5backed Yusuke Takahashi | 75c | 17.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yusuke Takahashi | 78c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Yusuke Takahashi | 74c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.