Other European Leagues · resolved market

FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0faef409bf6328c1e86b3ada35e849fe8fee265aee52b1f3098bdb1c29fa7125

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,645 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	5,657$2,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,758.6	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Under	0c	3,092$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffd…d0b5backed Over	68c	2,810$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over	53c	1,372$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.74	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	47c	1,370$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.74	1,113	51%568 W · 545 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	74c	1,152$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.51	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	18c	999$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.18	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over	53c	971.8$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.75	153	61.4%94 W · 59 L	+10.7wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	40c	913.07$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.65	2,130	45.8%975 W · 1,155 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under	48c	775.27$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.09	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over	52c	600$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	25c	593.02$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.24	290	52.4%152 W · 138 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	45c	562.14$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.67	2,179	48%1,046 W · 1,133 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over	39c	512$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.32	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over	52c	499.98$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.99	97	64.9%63 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	33c	479.9$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.53	100	31%31 W · 69 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under	48c	403.67$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.76	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	30c	397.95$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.03	2,640	35.7%942 W · 1,698 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	39c	372.21$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.16	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	47c	336.08$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.96	2,334	46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over	53c	299.04$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.76	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over	60c	281.41$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.57	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Under	46c	211.95$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under	48c	209.96$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.78	109	44%48 W · 61 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	46c	204.62$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.98	2,543	52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L	+18.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over	68c	202.58$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.83	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Under	11c	194.11$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under	33c	189.33$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.79	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	49c	181.43$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.16	920	43.4%399 W · 521 L	-4.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Under	30c	177.45$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.24	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under	30c	175.63$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.69	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	66cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over	53c	170.89$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.32	122	61.5%75 W · 47 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over	48c	157.43$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.86	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	70c	140.29$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.09	178	50.6%90 W · 88 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	56c	131.49$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.59	351	63.5%223 W · 128 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	49c	124.64$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.24	280	49.6%139 W · 141 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Under	43c	120$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	50c	116.4$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.2	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	62c	104.42$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.26	343	58.9%202 W · 141 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over	38c	102.7$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.12	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+7.1wins	+0.31per pick	39cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Over	58c	100.84$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.35	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked Over	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e6…2269backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	48c	99.98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	44c	98.44$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.97	773	50.2%388 W · 385 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under	49c	95.48$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.52	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	46c	91.69$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.18	1,711	48.3%827 W · 884 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	62c	90.25$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.91	2,309	42.8%988 W · 1,321 L	-41.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over	54c	90.03$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.42	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	57c	81.83$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.19	1,467	48%704 W · 763 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	58c	67.23$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.24	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over	52c	65.37$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.38	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.9wins	+0.36per pick	51cpaid	+78.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	55c	65.26$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.25	373	41.6%155 W · 218 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over	53c	63.77$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.97	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under	66c	57.87$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.31	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	52c	56.03$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.89	258	59.7%154 W · 104 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Over	52c	55.22$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under	48c	50.46$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.22	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	26c	49.69$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.77	2,012	35.5%714 W · 1,298 L	-27.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under	45c	45.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.43	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	46c	43.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	132	58.3%77 W · 55 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over	56c	43.46$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.12	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	58c	42.02$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.65	278	64.4%179 W · 99 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over	58c	42.02$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.65	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over	53c	40.34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.96	36	69.4%25 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over	52c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.83	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	52c	37.35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.93	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	55c	35.76$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.97	89	69.7%62 W · 27 L	+13.3wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xabd8…553cbacked Under	72c	34.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.58	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Over	58c	33.61$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.12	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over	58c	33.61$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.12	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2087…62a4backed Under	49c	31.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over	58c	31.45$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.21	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	65	63.1%41 W · 24 L	+8.0wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under	53c	28.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.29	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf748…c387backed Over	53c	28.24$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ba81backed Over	49c	27.7$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.13	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabb7…9241backed Under	69c	27.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over	53c	26.66$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.53	69	69.6%48 W · 21 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	75c	26.27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.57	252	63.5%160 W · 92 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over	72c	25.68$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.19	75	80%60 W · 15 L	+12.7wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under	48c	23.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under	48c	23.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under	48c	23.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	71c	23.71$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.88	135	73.3%99 W · 36 L	+24.7wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Under	76c	20.7$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.73	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5this page
FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5Under won
FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)Aarhus GF won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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