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MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Diamondbacksof Chicago White Sox, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$255,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox29c12,956$3,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800.882,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c8,485$4,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.111,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks59c8,266$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,389.136047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox42c7,402$3,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,108.751,69250.2%849 W · 843 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c5,541$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.45,51750.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L+26.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Arizona Diamondbacks69c5,533$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.232958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox28c5,452$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.938,25146.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L+41.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Arizona Diamondbacks59c4,960$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.4637953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b6…672abacked Chicago White Sox42c4,596$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.43935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd752…ce7fbacked Chicago White Sox61c4,284$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Chicago White Sox0c4,066$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.214754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Chicago White Sox14c3,387$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.212227.9%34 W · 88 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Arizona Diamondbacks59c3,144$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.7357744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Chicago White Sox1c2,979$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.751,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago White Sox42c2,758$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.2419250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks70c2,508$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.1948850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago White Sox0c2,500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks59c2,119$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.738053.8%43 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks69c2,086$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.371,53059.4%909 W · 621 L+82.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago White Sox4c2,055$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.153,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+147.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84027751.6%143 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Chicago White Sox29c1,943$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.131,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago White Sox16c1,880$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.731,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Chicago White Sox6c1,689$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.319021.1%19 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks58c1,652$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.862,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Chicago White Sox6c1,533$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3736440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Chicago White Sox12c1,532$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.486845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Chicago White Sox12c1,486$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4530440.5%123 W · 181 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Chicago White Sox1c1,403$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1640629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago White Sox23c1,372$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.121,16042.6%494 W · 666 L-40.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Arizona Diamondbacks59c1,240$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.3719158.1%111 W · 80 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x941f…58ecbacked Arizona Diamondbacks75c1,197$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.628650%43 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c1,126$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.9828258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Chicago White Sox4c1,060$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.411,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Chicago White Sox16c1,047$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5213818.8%26 W · 112 L-17.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox10c1,009$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.881,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago White Sox41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Arizona Diamondbacks59c991.93$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.6930844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago White Sox42c965.2$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.3845851.1%234 W · 224 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago White Sox8c948.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.531,20629.1%351 W · 855 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox42c916.94$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.111,92453.4%1,028 W · 896 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox14c907.26$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9212,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Arizona Diamondbacks41c855.95$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.011,21940.4%493 W · 726 L-33.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago White Sox29c800.85$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0555541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Chicago White Sox24c788.75$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5420443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Chicago White Sox13c728.8$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7811942.9%51 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox41c725.06$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.273,54151%1,805 W · 1,736 L+53.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago White Sox8c680.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3785835.7%306 W · 552 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked Chicago White Sox14c677.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc174…b757backed Arizona Diamondbacks59c661.29$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.132157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Chicago White Sox8c635.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.885819%11 W · 47 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Chicago White Sox16c629.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4733137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks59c611.69$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+180.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Chicago White Sox42c567.88$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5128244.7%126 W · 156 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago White Sox42c548.23$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2650751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks73c514.93$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.265756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Chicago White Sox5c506.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4137941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Chicago White Sox41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks59c495.97$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.352853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Chicago White Sox4c462.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5270154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Chicago White Sox42c458.47$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5621653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks46c454.77$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.584,10757.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L+65.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed Chicago White Sox6c427.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.276445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Arizona Diamondbacks42c420$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.622831.6%72 W · 156 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Arizona Diamondbacks59c419.42$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9622548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Arizona Diamondbacks59c413.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4643153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Chicago White Sox31c399.84$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.174645.7%21 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago White Sox10c397.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.682,54945.8%1,168 W · 1,381 L-75.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ee…1acdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c394.8$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Chicago White Sox50c387.07$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0141847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox41c374.16$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.417,04650.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c353.94$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3220350.2%102 W · 101 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14739850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Chicago White Sox42c344.58$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7217151.5%88 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64da…2292backed Chicago White Sox58c335.8$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.779557.9%55 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks59c331.64$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9748354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…5a74backed Arizona Diamondbacks59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Chicago White Sox41c328$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4844643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox41c326.16$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.721,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks62c323.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.036,12855.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L+347.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Chicago White Sox41c318$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3828049.6%139 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Chicago White Sox42c306.93$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9131949.5%158 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Chicago White Sox42c306.93$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9111448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12635549%174 W · 181 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Chicago White Sox42c298.29$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2813951.8%72 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Chicago White Sox61c292.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7238768.5%265 W · 122 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Chicago White Sox55c289.65$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1511637.9%44 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago White Sox41c260$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.61,29843.6%566 W · 732 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.673560%21 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Chicago White Sox14c250.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0612349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox41c249.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51,42343.6%620 W · 803 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Chicago White Sox42c246.13$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3727651.4%142 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Chicago White Sox41c233$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5340645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Chicago White Sox42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.524259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago White Sox16c223.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2260941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Chicago White Sox42c215.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.440648.5%197 W · 209 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c210.18$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7635240.3%142 W · 210 L-23.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Chicago White Sox29c208.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8210338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c203.34$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.751555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Chicago White Sox41c199.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9941549.2%204 W · 211 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.