MLB · resolved market
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x560d12caa4714480c4bebffb8f6c8056a057c67f4ad6b15e3d2c4b0f6ed7afd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 26,646$15,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,957.68 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 26,193$10,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,716.07 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 6,883$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.51 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 3,871$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 2,464$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.92 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 1,999$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.32 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,216$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.92 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 990.05$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.03 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 837.68$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 609.37$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 560.34$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.81 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 552.89$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.81 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 510$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.82 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 498$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.78 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 488$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 481.91$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 474.46$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.68 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 445.84$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.51 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 431.82$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.16 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Chicago White Sox | 33c | 420$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 411.38$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.35 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 355.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 296.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 212.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.89 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 212.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 212.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 209.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Chicago White Sox | 72c | 162.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 152.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 125.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 117.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago White Sox | 20c | 97.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 78.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -10.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 74.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 73.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 60.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 60.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 57.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 51.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 48.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 46.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…666fbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 45.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119f…31d8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 44.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…d78bbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 41.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 40.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Chicago White Sox | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 34.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 33.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c09…990bbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 80c | 30.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…4632backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 29.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 23.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 20.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 80c | 18.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…1acdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 16.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.