TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x743f…4d76backed No67c7,677$5,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…4393backed Yes34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c3e…7f57backed Yes10c4,031$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes31c4,021$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.513029.2%38 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8605…09edbacked Yes2c3,000$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf8…b5aabacked Yes23c2,588$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c2,230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.271,1366.3%72 W · 1,064 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…01d6backed Yes3c1,731$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…22b0backed Yes23c1,066$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1437…acfebacked Yes4c1,020$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c848.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36210%0 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc32b…8cafbacked Yes4c845.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes21c578.04$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.872025%5 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes15c483.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6aa…178ebacked No60c464.48$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Yes35c430.19$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No71c415.1$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-42.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x301d…db2cbacked Yes73c296.23$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes20c279$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.684814.6%7 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-53.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c3…dc99backed Yes16c265$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee8…621ebacked Yes19c261.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed No71c249.01$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.211752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1ac6backed No64c234$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+143.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe94d…c69abacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed No73c195.86$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+60.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a61…2110backed No79c187.57$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x031f…77f1backed Yes7c181.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7039…4a7dbacked No74c171.44$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4079…7126backed No62c146.2$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb675…3d65backed Yes35c143.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503060%18 W · 12 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb521…18f6backed Yes31c134.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+576.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes11c123.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes37c120.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4610135.6%36 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No70c119$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.711529.6%34 W · 81 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No72c118.77$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes39c117$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.231,07335.5%381 W · 692 L-70.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9998…e858backed No47c111.57$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.571936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e3…c41ebacked No79c108.37$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca0…e59dbacked No73c102$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes15c100.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.395834.5%20 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2213…492cbacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aac…dfadbacked No35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656549.2%32 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce51…e692backed No79c94.73$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…f17fbacked Yes42c94.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes22c90.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b47…6090backed No71c89.8$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf9…7083backed No69c89.68$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb98…ebb6backed Yes15c84.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes34c83.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes21c75.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4c…d6a2backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No77c72$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes38c63.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd91…6262backed Yes22c61.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27100%0 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7854…90a5backed No30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2450%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ead…f333backed No70c59.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc967…8744backed No66c59.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5736…aed1backed Yes36c56.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c1…266cbacked No71c55.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No70c52.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.092152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32eb…f531backed No56c52.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes30c44.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1233618.5%62 W · 274 L-46.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-60%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbd1e…25a7backed Yes36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcd…a901backed No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…3428backed Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x813f…26ecbacked Yes41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a6…c753backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked No65c37.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af8…d08ebacked No70c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No69c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed No67c30.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked No65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14d5…8ba8backed No70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes42c26.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb08…5630backed Yes50c26.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a8…7493backed No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1e…90e5backed No60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd2…c545backed No62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ba…b46dbacked No66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No64c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48f…4ae5backed No65c18.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.