MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4be1a19852e84759b04551792dd01767e010b6ceaaff8fd92e32c488c7db6819
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Los Angeles Angels, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 2,212$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.47 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 1,689$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.23 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.1 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 1,181$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee2…8a14backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 970.55$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Los Angeles Angels | 12c | 959.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 672.96$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 592$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.92 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 543.96$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 537.29$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 534.47$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 527.23$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 440$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Chicago White Sox | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 250.78$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 230.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 221.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 195.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 185.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 174.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 162.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 162.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 145.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 127.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…6ea7backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 120.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…36c8backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 82.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 64.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 55.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 52.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 50.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 46.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…9447backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 42.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 34.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 29.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 28.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 24.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 22.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 18.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 15.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.