TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked Under56c5,500$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.9917248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over45c3,585$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.244,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over44c3,357$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.9127351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9d…02e3backed Over45c3,209$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Over43c3,163$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.91442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over75c2,701$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.272,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x861a…1f15backed Under55c2,485$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.494259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under9c1,601$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.061,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under57c1,582$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.88441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c1,575$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.615,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4b…8a14backed Over43c1,460$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over47c1,381$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.859147.3%43 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Over44c1,318$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…9d97backed Over44c1,223$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Under56c1,170$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed Under57c1,095$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.156947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e1…b9dfbacked Over44c1,053$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over45c1,008$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.41,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over44c959.95$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.971,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over43c892.45$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.576,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c873.77$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under57c873.04$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.633246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Under56c869.29$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.889153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over43c663.05$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9465549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under53c618.57$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.149,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c516.79$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.731,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under57c515.35$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.751,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Under9c444$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.96714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over57c435.05$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.86,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over44c342.09$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.081,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under57c315.83$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0230750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae17…8e49backed Over44c299.84$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Under57c260.8$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.656346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under56c260.79$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.041,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under36c253.86$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.391,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked Under11c226.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over41c223.66$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.956,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over42c215.78$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0711,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over42c179.89$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.091,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under57c171.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7335650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Over50c170.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1923244%102 W · 130 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over43c156$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.849649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Under53c140.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5611741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over56c127.74$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.562,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Under56c113.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.284257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under56c101.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0330048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5621748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…d402backed Under57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.536070%42 W · 18 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5311250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Under56c92.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.865250%26 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under56c91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Under56c88.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.741546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under56c87.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0170744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Over45c85.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.286743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Under35c81.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6651555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under28c69.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3138352.2%200 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ea…4013backed Under57c69.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.641747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under57c68.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7779543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Over46c63.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.176547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over44c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2823248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…d751backed Over44c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over45c62.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6522948%110 W · 119 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over65c58.65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.365,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Under57c58.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3216544.8%74 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over43c55.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6425249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under52c55.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.691,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under55c52.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.921,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Under57c51.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.236855.9%38 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2755953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Under58c48.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2730350.8%154 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under54c48.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over70c46.79$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under57c41.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.384751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…9c13backed Over48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.994753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8785…7278backed Under57c37.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under36c37.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6614034.3%48 W · 92 L-13.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over63c34.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9637143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under57c34.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.461,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under56c33.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8722849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Under54c29.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7517051.8%88 W · 82 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under38c28.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7467742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over43c27.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4118751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under54c25.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.972,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Under57c25.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.613357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2511346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x088d…3516backed Under58c24.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.131984.2%16 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+73.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under44c24.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.821,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Over46c22.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.422236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under55c22.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.365359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under53c21.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.282,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over68c20.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.621,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.423750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6594…6593backed Under57c18.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55147.1%1 W · 13 L-6.6wins-0.47per pick54cpaid-87.2%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under55c18.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1712654%68 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Over67c15.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.139152.7%48 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.