MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x820d54a0d0286b9207342297372ee90356e83965fe4313cdaf4e63c031850733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 60c | 9,974$5,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.88 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 40c | 8,653$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.11 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Under | 50c | 4,582$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.89 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 3,061$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.5 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 2,125$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.03 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 55c | 1,907$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.1 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 45c | 1,674$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 495.51$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 61c | 478.25$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 309.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.43 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 45c | 268.24$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 233.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 52c | 213.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 49c | 196.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 45c | 182.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 45c | 146.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 48c | 136.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 56c | 130.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 127.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 123$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 49c | 108.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 47c | 96.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 61c | 92.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 70c | 84.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 38c | 74.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 64c | 70.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 55c | 60.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Under | 49c | 60.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 79c | 59.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 44c | 45.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 37c | 39.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 45c | 32.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Over | 55c | 28.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over | 56c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 19.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 66c | 18.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.