MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe466379ee7339442c24426a98260f7841a07b20be991db490df5be987514a946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof New York Mets, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed New York Mets | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.98 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 14,208$6,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,530.39 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked New York Mets | 47c | 4,801$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.89 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed New York Mets | 36c | 2,356$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.25 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 2,282$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.2 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 2,040$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.22 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 1,910$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.64 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,697$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.98 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 42c | 1,560$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.95 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed New York Mets | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 1,427$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.64 | 413 | 41.2%170 W · 243 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 1,348$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.9 | 580 | 51.7%300 W · 280 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 1,220$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.01 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 1,188$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.38 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,178$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.06 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +147.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 1,014$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.22 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 988.53$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.09 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 889.04$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 661.61$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Mets | 49c | 553.42$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.75 | 2,349 | 49.9%1,172 W · 1,177 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 50c | 364.51$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 305.15$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed New York Mets | 49c | 296.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked New York Mets | 47c | 264$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Colorado Rockies | 79c | 247.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed New York Mets | 39c | 222.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 217.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 4,107 | 57.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L | +65.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked New York Mets | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed New York Mets | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 193.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 185.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 854 | 49.3%421 W · 433 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed New York Mets | 48c | 183.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 172.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 156.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked New York Mets | 40c | 142.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 136.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Colorado Rockies | 64c | 132.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 2,593 | 61.5%1,595 W · 998 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 111.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f7…92dfbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed New York Mets | 47c | 104.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked New York Mets | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 97.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 93.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 48c | 89.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 72c | 88.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…9b4bbacked New York Mets | 48c | 82.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Colorado Rockies | 70c | 81.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…e4bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Mets | 52c | 66.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1,221 | 50%610 W · 611 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 64.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 333 | 28.2%94 W · 239 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked New York Mets | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed New York Mets | 50c | 58.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Mets | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Mets | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 48.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed New York Mets | 42c | 48.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01bc…6c9fbacked Colorado Rockies | 60c | 41.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 40.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Mets | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 35.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Mets | 46c | 32.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 31.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New York Mets | 42c | 28.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies | 69c | 28.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 4,428 | 45.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L | +87.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 26.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked New York Mets | 52c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 23.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 663 | 59.6%395 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed New York Mets | 46c | 22.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed New York Mets | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed New York Mets | 58c | 18.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.