MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x620d9089685968d823e75d20ad923848044e190b8a987690bc1c2f2b920f53d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 9,840$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.45 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Over | 46c | 3,780$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.8 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 3,674$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.15 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 60c | 3,323$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.99 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Over | 46c | 2,983$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.07 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 2,231$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.38 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 2,048$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 2,001$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.41 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda02…074ebacked Over | 47c | 1,814$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 37c | 1,439$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.19 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 1,276$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.57 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 38c | 1,135$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.26 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,096$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 46c | 660.49$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.83 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 54c | 583.44$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 582.18$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.98 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 508.18$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 57c | 404.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 377.86$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 34c | 281.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Under | 50c | 252.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 49c | 217.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 53c | 184.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 53c | 176.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 48c | 171.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 43c | 146.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 67c | 146$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 53c | 138.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 127$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 36c | 124.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 46c | 123.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 42c | 122.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 54c | 107.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 48c | 106.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 30c | 84.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…fbedbacked Over | 22c | 70.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 68.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Over | 46c | 63.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 54.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 30c | 48.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 52c | 47.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Over | 40c | 42.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 53c | 42.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 54c | 37.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 36.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 66c | 31.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd330…c12dbacked Over | 52c | 30.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 46c | 30.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 303 | 50.8%154 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 54c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Over | 47c | 26.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 55c | 25.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9c…0639backed Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 67c | 23.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 54c | 23.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Under | 66c | 22.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 125 | 72%90 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.