Us Politics · resolved market
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6747fd1ac5fa9fe9844eafd9f766a3bf9a775ebbda45bd24f262be09ef307bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked No | 74c | 537.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 26c | 367$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes | 66c | 267.06$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 26c | 259.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…6347backed Yes | 31c | 246.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 19c | 243.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…7636backed No | 78c | 216$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…85ecbacked No | 38c | 184.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 22c | 122.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 62c | 104$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 15c | 103.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d78…5c35backed Yes | 19c | 103.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ff…55c8backed Yes | 56c | 85.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…09afbacked No | 28c | 73.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +252.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7d…5f7ebacked No | 32c | 68.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +54%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 39c | 59.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f5…8423backed No | 75c | 48.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Yes | 76c | 32.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…ba9fbacked Yes | 77c | 31.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 74c | 30.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…5382backed No | 72c | 29.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 45c | 27.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 43c | 27.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 73c | 24.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed No | 61c | 20.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Yes | 58c | 19.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…2283backed Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.