MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53b64f32ec0525405d0acfeebe5c2f391edb734beacf3c10ee8518d80ed20446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 11,256$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.05 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 10,581$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,143.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 7,783$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 5,902$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.65 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 4,757$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.53 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,081$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 2,984$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.82 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 2,511$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.03 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 2,364$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,722$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.57 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,271$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.21 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,260$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,252$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,059$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 897.19$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.96 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 670.65$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.85 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 548.26$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.56 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 508.47$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 507.23$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 438.42$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.65 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 419.41$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 301.28$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 299.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 299.27$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…6ea7backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 260.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 19c | 234.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 217.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Atlanta Braves | 23c | 186.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlanta Braves | 20c | 168.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 160.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 142.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 129.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 124.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 108.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 107.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 96.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 191 | 57.6%110 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 81.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…4342backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 80.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 77.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 76.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 65.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 65.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 61.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea7…c6a0backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Atlanta Braves | 25c | 55.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 49.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 47.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 43.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 41.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…8016backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 31.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 27.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 25.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 24.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…ff82backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.