Ukraine · resolved market
Zelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60de97e5ff9050dfc4525067129c7ce38313fc7efc7ddcab00267d0d5c25f92f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01d1…12a4backed No | 30c | 2,722$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…4820backed No | 2c | 1,308$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked Yes | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…b084backed Yes | 63c | 455.01$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 11c | 424$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked No | 37c | 382.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 13c | 370$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 37c | 326.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 50c | 301.02$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked No | 30c | 280$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +222.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 26c | 117.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 65c | 111.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd9…fdcebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 66c | 99.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Yes | 71c | 84.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 28c | 67.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…a4febacked No | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 18c | 62.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…8bf3backed No | 52c | 51.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed No | 26c | 50.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed No | 37c | 49.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2d…61b2backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 56c | 43.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 26c | 43.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4700…854bbacked Yes | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…4690backed No | 46c | 38.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…8688backed No | 46c | 32.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…f983backed Yes | 64c | 29.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 63c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…9979backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…7275backed Yes | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…da90backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…8753backed Yes | 66c | 18.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.