NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b33603c6389d62aafaecfae1c67897a25692e13fc15814d23c072f01f956e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Golden Knights | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Golden Knights | 73c | 1,073$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Utah | 27c | 1,016$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.72 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 61c | 545.73$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Utah | 29c | 471.62$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.69 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Golden Knights | 71c | 412.37$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.78 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Golden Knights | 73c | 393.7$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.9 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Golden Knights | 12c | 299.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Utah | 40c | 269.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.23 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Golden Knights | 40c | 217.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 208.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Golden Knights | 44c | 171.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Utah | 27c | 144.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Utah | 28c | 115.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Golden Knights | 10c | 113.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Utah | 27c | 91.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights | 72c | 76.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Utah | 79c | 70.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…b9b2backed Utah | 28c | 51.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…05bebacked Golden Knights | 73c | 50.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…82e8backed Golden Knights | 73c | 38.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Utah | 64c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. UtahUtah won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.