Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b9608c9f4ced908fd2146b5fcdd6d57d7077a234a2daaec28781d08fcb066e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 75c | 21,008$15,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,749.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 25c | 8,748$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,531.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 6,986$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.07 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 25c | 2,400$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 60c | 2,273$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.84 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…8ce4backed No | 19c | 1,342$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 980.43$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.46 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 65c | 622.72$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.34 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 38c | 596.57$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.67 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 21c | 479.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.73 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 420.12$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.77 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 16c | 302.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 45c | 297.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf583…0a4cbacked No | 66c | 288.62$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 73c | 273.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 16c | 236.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 25c | 227.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 23c | 136.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 135.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 134.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 21c | 96.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 24c | 85.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 59c | 85.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 16c | 68.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 39c | 54.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 51.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 26c | 41.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 80c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Yes | 78c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.