Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348cf7eccc891936e9cd1452c49289395f3e2a18167301341a0e1821b07db5e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 2c | 7,973$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 731.02$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.98 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 586.77$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.89 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 21c | 480.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 75c | 398.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 35c | 299.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 254.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 247.03$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.15 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 48c | 208.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 161.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 112.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 20c | 101.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 19c | 70.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…a67dbacked Yes | 77c | 65.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed No | 72c | 54.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 50.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 20c | 50.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…b05ebacked Yes | 80c | 43.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 27c | 41.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed No | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 48c | 36.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed No | 58c | 34.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…908bbacked Yes | 61c | 34.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 42c | 29.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed No | 52c | 27.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 24.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…16a0backed Yes | 67c | 18.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.