Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x597321aee29f327dabced2cb21f49f6cb9a8d295db8abf8fd11198fbd8391b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e9e…9b4ebacked No | 73c | 1,112$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 44c | 1,014$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.15 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 28c | 994.06$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.82 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 54c | 727.18$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.15 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 42c | 702.91$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.97 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 3c | 647.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 44c | 579.59$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.89 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…bc60backed Yes | 4c | 526.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 17c | 493.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 483 | 10.1%49 W · 434 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6564backed Yes | 57c | 442.82$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 61c | 420.32$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.61 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 36c | 375$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.69 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 77c | 361.09$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 52c | 343.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 6c | 281.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 55c | 259.08$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 75c | 250$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 43c | 249.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 51c | 249.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 233$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 41c | 225.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Yes | 50c | 198.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 53c | 188.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 65c | 179.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 176.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 59c | 140.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 127.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 55c | 122$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 27c | 104.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 39c | 103.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 51c | 100.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…899dbacked Yes | 46c | 95.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 45c | 92.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 39c | 74.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 49c | 58.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 61c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 42c | 44.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 70c | 43.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed No | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 44c | 30.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 43c | 26.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…fd3cbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 42c | 24.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed No | 79c | 20.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…e6e1backed Yes | 55c | 20.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…3e16backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed Yes | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.