Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ea27ad78254ac0a4a82576ba48340ca56e9a6b99c1834aff735d3ed54574b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,096$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 3c | 1,902$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 176 | 12.5%22 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…fbfabacked Yes | 34c | 1,239$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 23c | 624.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 23c | 513.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 502.66$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 79c | 444.52$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 10c | 368.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 64c | 368.8$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 71c | 367.44$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 330.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6564backed Yes | 38c | 272.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 483 | 10.1%49 W · 434 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 61c | 214$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 63c | 212.4$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 7c | 209.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 179.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Yes | 16c | 172.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 157.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 74c | 137.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…f3d4backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +358.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 66c | 127.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…3e16backed Yes | 18c | 124.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Yes | 40c | 124.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 13c | 115.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 12c | 106.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 24c | 99.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 26c | 96.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 13c | 79.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…e2b7backed Yes | 24c | 77.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 69c | 49.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 58c | 26.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed No | 73c | 21.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.