Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9de3ef38534a35c3b9806a4a61b4e27178f76241110c9d8265b91ce83dbdf196
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed No | 69c | 1,606$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.59 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 37c | 1,501$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.74 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 35c | 1,343$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.37 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,168$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.29 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 35c | 1,063$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.51 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 35c | 938.08$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.31 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 733.04$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.04 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…f3d4backed Yes | 6c | 611.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +358.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 47c | 559.33$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.67 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 14c | 403.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.25 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 20c | 370.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 30c | 326.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.94 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 29c | 317.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 260.53$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 10c | 243.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 29c | 210$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 43c | 179.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 79c | 174.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 34c | 166.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 69c | 133.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 18c | 121.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 13c | 111.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 74c | 108.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 16c | 100.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6564backed Yes | 42c | 92.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 83.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Yes | 34c | 82.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 23c | 73.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 64c | 73.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 68.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed No | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 77c | 64.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…e2b7backed No | 64c | 58.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed Yes | 73c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 78c | 48.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 245 | 24.9%61 W · 184 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966b…2d95backed Yes | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 46.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 58c | 44.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Yes | 48c | 42.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 133 | 23.3%31 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…e6e1backed Yes | 39c | 40.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 70c | 37.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…49c0backed Yes | 41c | 36.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 52c | 35.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 70c | 30.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8a2fbacked No | 73c | 29.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…9eedbacked Yes | 47c | 29.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 64c | 25.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 70c | 25.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…7947backed No | 78c | 24.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 62c | 24.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 68c | 21.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 67c | 20.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…dfaebacked No | 60c | 19.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked No | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.