TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab82…abe5backed Yes67c13,200$8,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,355.941060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c4,999$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.134,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c4,712$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.993,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No33c2,877$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.961,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No26c2,586$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.841,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes54c2,444$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.442365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No21c1,775$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.3724344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Yes68c1,485$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.291580%12 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+66.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No38c781.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006931.9%22 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No23c700.56$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes68c686.01$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.0111264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No31c674.37$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9935442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No32c658.89$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.961,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes54c632.21$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.7110634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes69c553.79$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9211551.3%59 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.768254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No32c389.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No32c389.67$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.451,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No33c353$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.051,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No16c320.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6310927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No33c304$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3223957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes68c288.44$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.310041%41 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No38c275$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.57447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes78c256.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.675253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No32c253.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8811350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No34c213.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4435759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No33c195.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.675431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No31c194.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.142,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No10c194.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No24c185.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9663553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.199966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes68c164.53$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6516250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+78.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fb…f24cbacked Yes69c159.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No32c159.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9768450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No33c156.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.811,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes69c152.45$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.267960.8%48 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes67c150.75$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7510361.2%63 W · 40 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No50c149$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4515150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes66c144.59$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.162842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No33c129.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.911449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes63c124.95$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3711656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No31c122.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9722448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…05a3backed Yes67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.62055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes60c116.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.436048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed No23c112.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.741533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec35…efc0backed Yes54c106.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes67c101.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.491070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes68c100.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3122638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3223855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329276.1%70 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No32c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57949.4%39 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No42c98.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed No19c94.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked Yes52c94.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.41968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes56c94.07$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.996563.1%41 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.553850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Yes69c86.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No32c85.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.444845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes69c85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5520857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf449…4854backed Yes67c82.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.161241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No20c81.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3741323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes53c79.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.720630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c5f…0614backed Yes63c79.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No14c77.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1421950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No33c76.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3412653.2%67 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed No33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked No46c73.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.72240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5dd…a04ebacked Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.533275%24 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes69c72.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.682975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No31c71.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2228045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed No42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes69c70.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8410152.5%53 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.122446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No33c67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.118229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No23c61.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4120253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes65c61.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.679558.9%56 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No24c61.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.014327.9%12 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick54cpaid+51.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No20c58.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5183444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x509b…aec4backed Yes69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No26c56.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5844424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf496…b05ebacked Yes78c56.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec17…44bcbacked No37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Yes71c52.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1127055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3326154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7911366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0165…b1c6backed Yes67c48.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.123855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2119…9303backed Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.457060%42 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a90…946abacked Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No33c41.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7931952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed No28c41.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No45c40.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff5d…0012backed Yes80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.