La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a0cb743b46fcb138278bce24774437a92aa5c2cf1a1c451129963f7e4b19e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 16c | 11,134$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.87 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 7,599$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.96 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 12c | 5,838$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.56 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 4,682$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 21c | 4,541$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.02 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 16c | 3,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 2,757$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.22 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 2,416$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.76 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 7c | 724$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 547.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 12c | 464.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Yes | 13c | 400.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 13c | 222$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Yes | 17c | 211.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 14c | 167.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 13c | 142.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 13c | 137.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 12c | 113$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 12c | 112.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…b0debacked Yes | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 12c | 100.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 14c | 99.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 17c | 90.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 16c | 66.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will UD Almería vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.