Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe3d26863e9ffca4d8e5c200ced103f1e859880ff86e9cd7477c4994cdc530dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 30c | 4,486$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.16 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 34c | 3,608$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.91 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 70c | 2,103$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.96 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 67c | 2,025$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.19 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 814.14$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 28c | 619.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 45c | 442.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 72c | 384.72$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 69c | 334.17$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 41c | 327.24$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 62c | 323.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 39c | 256.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 70c | 251.44$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 67c | 157.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 59c | 146.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 31c | 143.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 32c | 123.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 68c | 116.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 64c | 105.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 67c | 105.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 67c | 103.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 64c | 100.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…5aa7backed Yes | 69c | 89.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 30c | 82.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 59c | 81.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 36c | 78.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 64c | 78.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Yes | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 30c | 53.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 36c | 52.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 43.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 72c | 40.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4376…8745backed Yes | 60c | 29.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…30a1backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed Yes | 73c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 72c | 14.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.