La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09dfc0ee088df45d4cafeb0bd0bd2e6395cf5fa8bc702650866c49186d9ee3ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 8,202$6,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.38 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 4,137$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.53 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 3,421$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.07 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 2c | 2,481$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,858$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.53 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,785$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,720$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…f8c7backed No | 78c | 840$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 23c | 834.25$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 23c | 695.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 462.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…8f45backed No | 77c | 434.84$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed No | 78c | 430.84$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 24c | 382.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 358.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 24c | 354.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 7c | 272.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 249.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 23c | 204.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 23c | 200.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 199.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 22c | 189.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed No | 76c | 189.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 75c | 146.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked Yes | 23c | 113.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 100.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 78c | 98.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 76c | 96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 89.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 25c | 80.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 77.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 77c | 73.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…10d1backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…6c2ebacked No | 78c | 32.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 78c | 25.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…8903backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…45d6backed No | 79c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.