Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c561069e12fafa3ab6380f35a88e6b3f82b9c1e1a74aed4b47a7ecd030663f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 24,733$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.27 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 4c | 19,203$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.68 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 10,846$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.82 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 2,414$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 2,325$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.06 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 1,862$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.89 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 4c | 1,762$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 16c | 1,375$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.03 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 6c | 1,363$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 5c | 1,320$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,081$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 14c | 1,053$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 13c | 684.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Yes | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…1920backed Yes | 3c | 564.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 16c | 528.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 17c | 418.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 16c | 373.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 16c | 291.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 18c | 264.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 248.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 5c | 224.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…5898backed Yes | 14c | 189.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…7371backed Yes | 6c | 176.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…1532backed Yes | 17c | 139.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 14c | 135.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed Yes | 15c | 134.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…b26ebacked Yes | 17c | 97.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 16c | 68.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 16c | 67.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.