Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9af328ed507d7b3da8a4a1873b54a57d59e4508f7681f5d01c12a0783b9e7d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 56c | 30,001$16,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,782.6 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 21,683$9,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,141.3 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 14,847$5,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,970.44 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 10c | 3,811$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.9 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 55c | 3,250$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.72 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 2,155$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.31 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 45c | 1,759$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.56 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 50c | 1,731$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.37 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 943$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 24c | 918.69$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 11c | 720.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +257.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 47c | 637.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 54c | 621.57$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.67 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 45c | 619.46$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.28 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 599$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 518.3$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.33 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 54c | 477.85$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.42 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 75c | 386.33$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.75 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…cda5backed Yes | 28c | 382.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 45c | 371.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 363.8$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.04 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 19c | 355.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 46c | 329$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked No | 48c | 313.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 302.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.73 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 72c | 301.48$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 10c | 292.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.35 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 46c | 249.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 23c | 240.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 13c | 225$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 43c | 211$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 48c | 209.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 205$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 54c | 199.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 45c | 193.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 64c | 178.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…3b3cbacked Yes | 51c | 168.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 45c | 161.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Yes | 63c | 161.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 32c | 137.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 45c | 132.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…f77fbacked Yes | 53c | 106.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 44c | 105.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb03e…3686backed Yes | 54c | 101.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…e68ebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c9…2e09backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 53c | 99.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 12c | 99.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed No | 51c | 97.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…3555backed Yes | 55c | 90.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…82e5backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…f446backed Yes | 54c | 87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 55c | 78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cab…f4ecbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 25c | 60.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 55.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 48c | 55.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…ef53backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186b…641cbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 45c | 52.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…d934backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 56c | 47.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd686…055abacked No | 46c | 45.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 45c | 44.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…5393backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?Yes won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.