Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe9c4316542e3c2acc8d53bcc82b251228cfb812797e9c4b9b462a8394908ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 57c | 8,767$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.38 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 7,390$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640.97 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 7,008$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.96 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.88 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 3,550$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.85 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 3,284$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.99 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 48c | 3,100$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 2,834$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.55 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 2,247$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 49c | 1,825$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.04 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 52c | 1,462$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 50c | 1,382$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.87 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 7c | 1,170$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.7 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,085$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.7 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…3418backed Yes | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 913$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.37 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 39c | 767.72$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 55c | 699.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 551.11$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.07 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 52c | 525.74$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.45 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 41c | 485.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 52c | 465$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 50c | 458.04$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.02 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 51c | 455.51$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 49c | 450.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 38c | 447.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 443.82$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 37c | 336.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.54 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 48c | 333.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 50c | 264.73$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 51c | 260.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 42c | 216$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 49c | 208$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 51c | 204.05$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 164.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 153.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 49c | 152.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 51c | 142.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…6576backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed No | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +1,204.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dceebacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7759…45b8backed No | 52c | 108$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 48c | 103.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…9973backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 49c | 93.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 52c | 88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…a629backed Yes | 44c | 80.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 49c | 71.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 51c | 61.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec8…ad82backed Yes | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 49c | 54.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…468cbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…5677backed Yes | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.