TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked No66c15,217$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.016566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes37c10,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6506240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c6,882$4,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.61,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c4,287$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.6990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No66c3,785$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.5669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No63c2,645$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.248957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c2,475$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.023,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes36c2,169$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78122335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No64c2,074$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.69055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes37c1,788$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.6930634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c1,713$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.824,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes37c1,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4957443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No63c1,460$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.2123452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes37c1,414$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.261442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0420054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes33c1,300$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4296051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c1,164$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes31c961.41$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29526242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc713…c8d0backed Yes2c936.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid+5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes36c926.08$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.39955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes35c900$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3156657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No63c857.93$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4327854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes35c857.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes35c792.12$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.022532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d0…7b84backed Yes36c767.53$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Yes13c759.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+100.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes27c639.18$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes35c638.17$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+44.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No64c499.98$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.991723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-58%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No64c470.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No64c458.38$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.029044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes34c457.7$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.826929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c404.24$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes37c378.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No64c368.39$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.448939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a82…9794backed No64c320.14$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11155941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd02…6bb5backed No64c299.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cff…b0a6backed Yes34c293.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No64c291.66$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10515049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes37c274.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked No64c273.44$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.442245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes37c270$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.24136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No73c267.21$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.933946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes37c243.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e82…5170backed Yes36c232.29$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.89837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes37c230.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Yes22c206$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.041154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-54.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a80…755fbacked Yes36c199.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes12c178$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8226930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No65c164.47$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.132770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c163.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.031,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes21c160.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.221842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes35c160.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.142360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes36c152.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes36c152.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb531…b230backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes36c144.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5217643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes35c137$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.951225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes37c133.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57631.6%24 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506639.4%26 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes38c122$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.212729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No70c120.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No63c111.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.49554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No64c111$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.968961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No65c110.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9853246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ba…2bebbacked Yes20c105.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes35c101.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3626241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2af…644abacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc865…2c40backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354060%24 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked No64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.