TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes34c18,301$6,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,274.911,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No68c7,352$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.6412648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96026147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No67c2,000$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c1,863$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.9690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No64c1,500$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5359947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No65c1,204$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.146240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No69c851.9$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.093253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes32c697.52$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22249447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No80c645.77$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.224,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No69c609.46$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.936141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No68c583.81$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8227854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No69c510.16$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1513845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked No7c500$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4661464.3%9 W · 5 L+8.1wins+0.58per pick6cpaid+977.1%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes14c470$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No65c450$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.52161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes38c400$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac8…bca4backed No71c352.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+636.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No59c344.07$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.078550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No68c323$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No69c299.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9315049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc713…c8d0backed Yes9c275.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid+5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes8c271.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.043520%7 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No69c259.97$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.594259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.56235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No68c241.3$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.817252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No73c235.71$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596e…7b82backed Yes31c203.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.04520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6242557.9%246 W · 179 L+1.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No68c129$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No68c129$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+100.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No71c122.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.449057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No68c113$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1629053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a17…5524backed No70c105.71$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.71666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314231%13 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4223255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2183650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf68…8682backed Yes32c90.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-70.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No68c87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8427652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No68c87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8431751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No68c86.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.618152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.614166.7%94 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa513…40fdbacked No70c74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No65c72.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.365149%25 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked No69c69.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.554158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No74c66.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.185939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92d3…5ee5backed Yes32c65.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4b…82c2backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4821051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4819750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4811448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4821151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4816151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.489649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4814950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4843255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No68c62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8414157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2dd…11d5backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No69c59.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53378.8%26 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5614244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+79.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.57255.6%40 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Yes32c48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No68c48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3617648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No68c48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3621849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No68c47.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.238457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes30c42.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.869055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2def…c26fbacked Yes31c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes35c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.653145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No69c38.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.889655.2%53 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5211254.5%61 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5213453%71 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4568…de63backed Yes31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af1…0b91backed No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed No65c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No68c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2419352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No68c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.249247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No68c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2419152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.